2016 Annual Wrap-Up: Home Prices Reach Record High and Home Sales Reach 11-year High
The big story of 2016 was twofold: the median sales price reached an all-time high; while closed sales reached an 11-year high. Closed sales nearly broke their all-time record, but fell 0.3 percent short of their all-time 2004 high. Seller activity declined 1.1 percent. Near-record sales activity combined with flat-to-weaker seller activity created a supply shortage. Active housing supply levels fell to a 14-year low. This shortage has created a competitive environment where multiple offers have become more common. Sellers are receiving strong offers in record time, but this fast-paced market can frustrate some consumers. Days on market fell to a 10-year low. Absorption rates fell to 1.6 months of supply at year-end, a record low. Foreclosure activity fell for a fifth straight year and is back below 2007 levels. Although single-family homes made up about 75.0 percent of all sales, both townhomes and condos showed a stronger increase in sales. Similarly, previously-owned homes made up about 93.0 percent of sales but new construction showed a much stronger increase.
2016 by the Numbers
Sellers listed 76,531 properties on the market, a 1.1 percent decrease from 2015
Buyers closed on 59,988 homes, a 6.2 percent increase from 2015 and the highest figure since 2005
Inventory levels for December fell 26.3 percent to 8,197 units compared to 11,125 in 2015—a 14-year low
Months Supply of Inventory was down 30.4 percent to 1.6 months, also a 14-year low
The Median Sales Price rose 5.5 percent to $232,000, which is an all-time record high
Cumulative Days on Market declined 15.8 percent to 64 days, on average (median of 33)—a 10-year record low
Changes in sales activity varied dramatically by market segment
- Single-family sales rose 5.1 percent; condo sales rose 9.5 percent; townhome sales rose 9.9 percent
- Traditional sales rose 10.0 percent; foreclosure sales fell 25.0 percent; short sales fell 31.1 percent
- Previously-owned sales rose 5.7 percent; new construction sales rose 14.9 percent
Poignant Quotables
“The most important achievement of 2016 was erasing the losses in prices and equity caused by the downturn. As sales surpassed their 10-year high, Twin Citizens demonstrated that they are just as committed to homeownership as ever. There are some manageable challenges, but a favorable affordability picture, attractive rates, job growth and wage growth will continue to sustain a healthy real estate market,” said Cotty Lowry, President of the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS®.
“We reached some key milestones last year, and hope to continue with this momentum in 2017. It is a great time for those considering listing their home, as buyers are looking for more options. With median sales price at an all-time high, now is a great time to find out the current value of your home,” said Tina Angell, President of the St. Paul Area Association of REALTORS®.
From The Skinny Blog.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending January 7, 2017
If predictions hold true – a continuing inventory crunch, moderate price gains, higher mortgage rates – 2017 will likely be in favor of the seller. On the other end of the spectrum, deals may be harder to come by if the largest potential group of buyers, the millennials, do not start wading into the buying pool with more fervor.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 7:
- New Listings decreased 15.1% to 969
- Pending Sales decreased 21.1% to 555
- Inventory decreased 25.5% to 8,298
For the month of December:
- Median Sales Price increased 4.1% to $228,500
- Days on Market decreased 10.1% to 71
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.6% to 96.0%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 26.1% to 1.7
All comparisons are to 2016
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
Mortgage Rates Lower Again
After absorbing a mixed December jobs report, the 10-year Treasury yield fell 8 basis points. The 30-year mortgage rate moved in tandem with Treasury yields falling 8 basis points to 4.12 percent, the second decline since the presidential election.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending December 31, 2016
At the outset of 2017, we are watching for upward movement in some of the same areas that we were watching in 2016. Inventory remains a key metric, as continued decreases may push out potential buyers, especially if mortgage rates continue to increase. However, buying a home is still considered more affordable than renting in two-thirds of the country according to the 2017 Rental Affordability Report by ATTOM Data Solutions.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending December 31:
- New Listings decreased 7.5% to 384
- Pending Sales decreased 14.9% to 474
- Inventory decreased 24.9% to 9,049
For the month of December:
- Median Sales Price increased 4.1% to $228,500
- Days on Market decreased 10.1% to 71
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.6% to 96.0%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 30.4% to 1.6
All comparisons are to 2015
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
Mortgage Rates Start the Year Lower

The 30-year mortgage rate fell this week for the first time since the presidential election, dropping 12 basis points to 4.20 percent. This marks the first time since 2014 that mortgage rates opened the year above 4 percent. Despite this week’s breather, the 66-basis point increase in the mortgage rate since November 3, is taking its toll–the MBA’s refinance index plunged 22 percent this week.
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