Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending November 5, 2016

It is unclear how having elected the first business person with no prior political experience and a heavy background in real estate as the nation’s president is going to influence the housing market. In the hours and days after the election, financial markets became quite volatile due to the uncertainty. However, it doesn’t seem as though demand from aspiring home buyers will be shrinking in the near future.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 5:

  • New Listings decreased 7.4% to 1,096
  • Pending Sales increased 9.4% to 980
  • Inventory decreased 17.8% to 12,706

For the month of October:

  • Median Sales Price increased 6.5% to $230,000
  • Days on Market decreased 14.3% to 60
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.8% to 96.9%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 21.2% to 2.6

All comparisons are to 2015

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Median Seller Tenure in Home (1985-2016)

By David Arbit on Monday, November 7th, 2016

Median-Seller-Tenure

For quite some time, NAR’s reports have shown that homeowners tend to stay in their homes for 5-7 years. Based on the data from NAR’s most recent Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers report, that was true up until 2008. By 2011–just after the seismic shifts that rocked the market–owner tenure rose to 9 years and has been range-bound between 8-10 years since 2010. The current 2016 median tenure stands at 10 years. In summary, owning a home used to be a 5-7 year proposition, but owners now tend to be staying in their homes between 8-10 years.

The fact that sellers are staying in their homes longer since the downturn is partly responsible for our low inventory levels. That said, this is still a median, meaning that half of homeowners spend less than 10 years in their home. At first, a relatively large share of homeowners were underwater and thus couldn’t sell (not the case anymore). But then rising prices, historically low rates and an improving economy caused buyer demand to surge far more quickly than listing activity. That has created a situation where sellers are confident about getting strong offers on their homes quickly, but they’re hesitant about being a buyer in this competitive and under-supplied marketplace. Many are making the decision to stay and possibly remodel their current space rather than competing and possibly making full price offers or better on the most desirable homes.

Don’t expect quick resolution on the inventory shortage. New construction activity isn’t helping to alleviate the shortage because it’s not profitable to build at the entry-level or first-time buyer price point. We’re optimistic about things loosening up a tad come Spring 2017, but it will take time for the market to rebalance and regain its footing.

Although this recovery has sent sales and prices more or less back to peak levels, the hunt for equilibrium continues.
From The Skinny Blog.

Mortgage Rates Climb Higher

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This week’s survey reflects pre-election market conditions. As a result, the 30-year mortgage rate increased to 3.57 percent, only 3 basis points higher than last week’s level. On Wednesday, the 10-year Treasury yield closed above 2 percent, about 25 basis points higher than its pre-election value and its highest yield since January. At this point, it is too soon to tell whether Treasuries will hold this new level or if the mortgage rate will increase as much over the coming week.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending October 29, 2016

We enter the fourth quarter of the year knowing that the share of first-time home buyers rose for the first time in approximately three years. This fact is driven primarily by healthy job growth, but we need to see more homes entering the market in order to combat the low inventory struggle witnessed during the entirety of 2016.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending October 29:

  • New Listings decreased 6.1% to 1,031
  • Pending Sales increased 4.2% to 966
  • Inventory decreased 16.9% to 13,299

For the month of September:

  • Median Sales Price increased 3.6% to $230,000
  • Days on Market decreased 13.8% to 56
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.9% to 97.5%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 17.1% to 2.9

All comparisons are to 2015

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Mortgage Rates Head Up

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A jump last week in the PCE — the price index tracked most closely by the Fed — raised the prospect that inflation might not be completely dead after all. Investors reacted by driving the yield on the 10-year Treasury to its highest point since June. The 30-year mortgage rate jumped 7 basis points to 3.54 percent, the largest 1-week increase in over six months.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending October 22, 2016

Even though there are still more than two months remaining on the year, there is little to suggest that the prevailing trends of 2016 will suddenly change. If all holds firm, inventory will trend lower, prices will trend higher and sales will show that demand remains strong, despite having fewer homes to choose from.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending October 22:

  • New Listings decreased 4.7% to 1,174
  • Pending Sales increased 8.2% to 1,001
  • Inventory decreased 15.9% to 13,632

For the month of September:

  • Median Sales Price increased 3.6% to $230,000
  • Days on Market decreased 13.8% to 56
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.9% to 97.5%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 20.0% to 2.8

All comparisons are to 2015

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

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JOE KASEL
Sales Executive
612-532-1177
Joe@KaselHomes.com

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